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AI & Machine Learning

The most popular blog posts about ai & machine learning on Hacker News. 3,091 posts.

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2046

Bayes is guaranteed to overfit

The myth A few years ago I saw a StackOverflow question (but I cannot find it now): allegedly Andrew Gelman blogged that Bayesian models would not overfit and would only underfit (I also cannot find Andrew’s blog post now but I think what he meant by “Bayesian models only underfits” is that you can never fully model…

2055

There is no hard takeoff

Back in 2014, Elon Musk referred to AI as summoning the demon. And it wasn’t hard to see that view. Soon, Go agents would beat top humans learning from self play. By the end of 2017, the same algorithm mastered Chess and Shogi. By 2020, it didn’t even need tons of calls to the simulator, and could play Atari too.

2066

The Three Cultures of Machine Learning

Everyone should read Leo Breiman's 2001 article, Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures . (Summary: Traditional statisticians start with a distribution. They try to identify the parameters of the distribution from data that were actually generated from it. Applied statisticians start with data. They have no idea where…