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Every blog post that took off on Hacker News, ranked by the votes of its best submission. 16,892 posts.

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9626

The Anatomy of Determination

September 2009 Like all investors, we spend a lot of time trying to learn how to predict which startups will succeed. We probably spend more time thinking about it than most, because we invest the earliest. Prediction is usually all we have to rely on. We learned quickly that the most important predictor of success is…

9627

Kelly Criterion (2007)

It’s fairly clear when one should buy a particular stock. One should buy stock when it is undervalued. What I have always wondered about is how much stock one should buy. A few months ago I stumbled upon the answer which is given by the Kelly criterion . It says that one should invest an amount to maximize one’s…