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Todd Proebsting

proebsting.cs.arizona.edu

My efforts in deploying prediction markets at Microsoft made me very interested in information aggregation and incentives. How do we elicit information from people (or machines), and aggregate it in a way that rewards good information sources? How do we help decision makers to seriously consider the forecasts they…

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Proebsting's Law

This means that while hardware computing horsepower increases at roughly 60%/year, compiler optimizations contribute only 4%. Basically, compiler optimization work makes only marginal contributions.